Hudson Labs predicted Peloton's (PTON) stock collapse

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Andre Castillo, Head of Forensic Research at Hudson Labs

Hudson Labs provides machine-learned forensic risk assessment tools and advanced SEC filing navigation. Our proprietary risk scores and red flags predict price collapse. Learn more on our Research & White Papers page.

Peloton risk score

Hudson Labs started predicting a crisis at Peloton Interactive (PTON) as early as May 2021. At that time Peloton’s stock price was over $80. Since then Peloton’s stock price has plunged to under $12, as of December 12, 2022, a decrease of more than 80%. For context, the S&P 500 went down about 6% during this same time frame.

Graph  of #PTON stock collapse

In addition to Peloton’s high Hudson Labs risk score (top 7%), we flagged severe red flags to our subscribers, including ineffective controls over inventory counting in August 2021.

The Hudson Labs team highlighted some of Peloton's red flags in our October 2021 newsletter. Subscribers were notified even earlier.

Some of $PTON's red flags.
A snapshot of Hudson Labs' machine-learned red flags from 2021, as shown on our web platform:
 Bedrock's machine-learned red flags